When Partisan Anchors Make Parties Legible: Transnational Partisan Generalization After U.S. Political Violence Under review.
This project examines how foreign audiences use highly visible U.S. political events to interpret partisan conflict. I study whether exposure to U.S. political violence makes party labels more meaningful for global online audiences and changes how they discuss American politics. Using event-study and difference-in-differences designs with LLM-coded measures of partisan engagement on X and Weibo, I trace how party labels become legible abroad.
Estimand-First Comparative Text Analysis Submitted.
This project develops an estimand-first framework for comparative text analysis, in which cross-context comparisons of political discourse are organized around explicitly defined target quantities rather than off-the-shelf measurement pipelines. I illustrate the framework with an application to electoral spectatorship — how Chinese-speaking audiences followed and discussed the 2024 U.S. presidential election — combining LLM-assisted labeling of more than 14,000 posts and 379,000 comments from Weibo and Rednote with difference-in-differences designs.
When Group Issues and Core Issues Collide: Evidence from Tailored Conjoint Experiments on Latino Voters With Yamil Velez. Under review.
This project examines how Latino voters respond when candidates take different positions on group-related issues and broader ideological or policy issues. Using tailored conjoint experiments, we study how voters weigh group attachments against other political considerations.
Democracy Out of Sync: Circadian Misalignment and the Cost of Voting With Xuan Li. Under review.
This project studies how time-zone-induced circadian misalignment affects the cost of voting. We examine whether biological and temporal constraints influence electoral participation.
Primary Election and Intra-Party Factions With Shigeo Hirano and Sam Frederick.
This project studies factional competition within primary elections. Drawing on a newly assembled dataset of precinct-level primary election returns spanning dozens of U.S. states, we examine how intra-party divisions structure electoral competition and candidate behavior.
Within-Party Dispersion in Economic Perceptions. Working paper.
Using the 2016–2020–2024 ANES panel, this project documents how economic perceptions have diverged within parties and examines what this within-party heterogeneity implies for theories of partisan-motivated economic reasoning.
Beyond the Ballot Box: Campaigns and the Politicization of Everyday Consumption
This project examines whether campaigns and brand-politicization events generate politically patterned changes in everyday consumer behavior. Using Nielsen scanner data, local partisan context, and campaign-intensity measures, I study whether partisan cues shape consumer choice beyond traditional forms of political participation.
Demobilization Without Backlash: Campaign Donations and the DOGE Workforce Reduction. Under review.
This project examines whether politically salient workforce reductions affect campaign donations and political backlash. Leveraging a measure of cut severity constructed from FedScope federal personnel records, I study how policy shocks and employment-related disruptions shape political behavior.